AAA Sports' FREE PLAY
(NFL) Detroit vs. St. Louis,
Point Spread: 1.00 | -107.00 Detroit (Away)
Result: Loss
1* Free Play on the Detroit Lions.

As I mentioned in this week's Line Watch:

This basically a pick ‘em game anyway, but with significant early money down on the Lions, the Rams might not have to give even the 1 by the time this one kicks off. There's not much in the way of motivation for either team (both are 4-8 and just about out of playoff contention), but by the time this one kicks off Detroit will have had several things going its way – a few extra days of rest after playing on Thursday (Dec. 3) as well as decent momentum despite losing on the Aaron Rodgers Hail Mary. The Lions had won three in a row prior, including a mid-November win in Green Bay. St. Louis goes in with five straight SU losses (0-4-1 ATS).

We think Detroit is playing at a much higher level right now in all three phases of the game and note that the Lions have in fact excelled in this spot for bettors for a while now, going 4-2 ATS in their last six off a loss vs. a division rival, while the Rams have done poorly in this position, going 0-4 ATS their last four as a home dog of three points or less and just 5-6 ATS their last 11 after two or more consecutive losses.

Consider a second look at DETROIT in this one.

AAA Sports