PREMIUM
AAA's *50 STAR* Wk. 17 5-GM REPORT (245-203 +$18,990 w/ ALL 10* NFL!)
(NFL) NY Jets vs. Buffalo,
Point Spread: 3.00 | -105.00 Buffalo (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 3.00 | -105.00 Buffalo (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* play on the Buffalo Bills.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
- Motivation: While his team won't be making the postseason and the entire campaign has to be viewed as a failure, Rex Ryan still has one last shot to cement a solid victory in front of the home town crowd, while also dealing a crippling blow to his old team at the same time. Buffalo will also be eager to stick it to former QB Ryan Fitzpatrick.
- Letdown Spot: As crazy as it sounds with a playoff berth on the line, we feel this does indeed set up as a classic letdown spot for the surging Jets, who have been lucky though to win five in a row: note that New York is just 1-2 ATS already this year off a divisional contest. Also just 1-2 ATS on the road this year.
Strong and relevant ATS stats for Buffalo: Despite some injuries on both sides of the ball, the Bills have performed extremely well in this spot for bettors, going 4-3 ATS at home this year, 3-1 vs. the division and 12-8 ATS in their last 20 vs. teams with winning records.
The bottom line: We think the wheels finally fall off the bus for New York, while Buffalo seizes the moment to play spoiler and take out its frustrations after another disappointing season. Play on the BILLS.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
- Motivation: While his team won't be making the postseason and the entire campaign has to be viewed as a failure, Rex Ryan still has one last shot to cement a solid victory in front of the home town crowd, while also dealing a crippling blow to his old team at the same time. Buffalo will also be eager to stick it to former QB Ryan Fitzpatrick.
- Letdown Spot: As crazy as it sounds with a playoff berth on the line, we feel this does indeed set up as a classic letdown spot for the surging Jets, who have been lucky though to win five in a row: note that New York is just 1-2 ATS already this year off a divisional contest. Also just 1-2 ATS on the road this year.
Strong and relevant ATS stats for Buffalo: Despite some injuries on both sides of the ball, the Bills have performed extremely well in this spot for bettors, going 4-3 ATS at home this year, 3-1 vs. the division and 12-8 ATS in their last 20 vs. teams with winning records.
The bottom line: We think the wheels finally fall off the bus for New York, while Buffalo seizes the moment to play spoiler and take out its frustrations after another disappointing season. Play on the BILLS.
AAA Sports
