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(NFL) Green Bay vs. Washington,
Total: 45.50 | -101.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 45.50 | -101.00 Over
Result: Loss
1* Free Play UNDER Packers/Redskins.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Game plans: Washington would be wise to air it out to start this game as the Packers' front four have been anemic with pressure this season and this invariably leads to their secondary getting gassed quicker than usual. But the Redskins normal game-plan involves a commitment to the run and a short passing scheme which includes drag routes and short outs, to go along with a play action bootleg for Kirk Cousins to hit a RB or TE.
Green Bay would be wise to establish the run game, as Aaron Rodgers has simply not received proper protection all year; there's no question that the visitors will be running the ball to start this game so in hopes to open up the play-action later. Controlling the clock, so as to keep its defense off the field of play for as long as possible will be crucial in the Packers chances of scoring the playoff road victory.
Both teams must establish the run to have success and running the ball invariably leads to clock-killing.
Washington's under the radar defense: The Redskins would finish just No. 28 overall in the league defensively, but the team would make up for it by generating 26 takeaways, tired for ninth-best in the league.
Green Bay discipline: The Packers committed just 17 turnovers all year, the second-best number in the NFC, while Rodgers remains one of the most disciplined QB's in the game.
Strong trends: Note that the UNDER is 10-3 in Green Bay's last 13 games and 6-2 in the last eight games between the two teams.
The bottom line: This one has all the makings of a "chess-match," where field position is likely to play a big part in the final outcome and because of that, we'll highly recommend a second look at the UNDER in this Wild Card match-up.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Game plans: Washington would be wise to air it out to start this game as the Packers' front four have been anemic with pressure this season and this invariably leads to their secondary getting gassed quicker than usual. But the Redskins normal game-plan involves a commitment to the run and a short passing scheme which includes drag routes and short outs, to go along with a play action bootleg for Kirk Cousins to hit a RB or TE.
Green Bay would be wise to establish the run game, as Aaron Rodgers has simply not received proper protection all year; there's no question that the visitors will be running the ball to start this game so in hopes to open up the play-action later. Controlling the clock, so as to keep its defense off the field of play for as long as possible will be crucial in the Packers chances of scoring the playoff road victory.
Both teams must establish the run to have success and running the ball invariably leads to clock-killing.
Washington's under the radar defense: The Redskins would finish just No. 28 overall in the league defensively, but the team would make up for it by generating 26 takeaways, tired for ninth-best in the league.
Green Bay discipline: The Packers committed just 17 turnovers all year, the second-best number in the NFC, while Rodgers remains one of the most disciplined QB's in the game.
Strong trends: Note that the UNDER is 10-3 in Green Bay's last 13 games and 6-2 in the last eight games between the two teams.
The bottom line: This one has all the makings of a "chess-match," where field position is likely to play a big part in the final outcome and because of that, we'll highly recommend a second look at the UNDER in this Wild Card match-up.
AAA Sports
