AAA's 10* "REVENGE ASSASSIN!" (+$45,000 NBA RUN CONT!)
(NBA) Golden State vs. Sacramento,
Point Spread: 7.50 | -105.00 Sacramento (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Sacramento Kings.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Scheduling: This is an obvious one, as good as the Warriors are, we're now at the point of the season where back-to-back games start to pay a toll. Golden State annihilated the Blazers in Portland 128-108 as a 9-point favorite last night and is now being asked to cover a large spread on the road once again not even 24 hours later.

Improved play from the home side: The Kings have won three of four behind a vastly improved offensive scheme. Check out Sacramento's last four games: 142-119 win over Phoenix; 116-104 win over OKC; 117-116 loss in OT at Dallas; 118-115 victory over Lakers. The Kings will be pushing the pace and hoisting the three ball as much or more than the visiting side.

Revenge factor: To say this is a "revenge" game would be a bit of an understatement, as the Warriors have won 11 straight (SU), while going 8-1 ATS their last nine in the series.

The bottom line: And it's as simple as that for us, Sacramento is playing its best ball of the entire season right now and it catches a weary Warriors team on the second game of a back-to-back. Throw in the revenge factor and the savvy move in this contest is indeed on the KINGS.

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