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AAA's SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION - +$43,000 NBA RUN CONT!
(NBA) Dallas vs. Minnesota,
Point Spread: 4.50 | -105.00 Minnesota (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 4.50 | -105.00 Minnesota (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Minnesota Timberwolves.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Recent poor road play: Dallas has dropped four of its last six away from friendly confines.
Classic "look ahead" spot: The Mavs host the Cavaliers on Tuesday, before returning to the road to face OKC, Chicago and San Antonio.
Desperation breeds motivation: The Wolves have dropped five straight after getting blown out 125-99 at home by Cleveland on Friday.
Revenge factor: Minnesota lost both games to Dallas last year.
ATS statistics: Note that Dallas is just 6-8 ATS in its last 14 as a road favorite of 3.5 to six points, while Minnesota is 5-4 ATS this season after three or more consecutive SU losses.
The bottom line: A perfect combination of factors collide and while we wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the WOLVES to take full advantage of this situation and to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Recent poor road play: Dallas has dropped four of its last six away from friendly confines.
Classic "look ahead" spot: The Mavs host the Cavaliers on Tuesday, before returning to the road to face OKC, Chicago and San Antonio.
Desperation breeds motivation: The Wolves have dropped five straight after getting blown out 125-99 at home by Cleveland on Friday.
Revenge factor: Minnesota lost both games to Dallas last year.
ATS statistics: Note that Dallas is just 6-8 ATS in its last 14 as a road favorite of 3.5 to six points, while Minnesota is 5-4 ATS this season after three or more consecutive SU losses.
The bottom line: A perfect combination of factors collide and while we wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the WOLVES to take full advantage of this situation and to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.
AAA Sports
