PREMIUM
AAA's SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION - 379-282 +$22,866 NHL RUN!
(NHL) Minnesota vs. San Jose,
Money Line: -135.00 San Jose (Home)
Result: Win
Money Line: -135.00 San Jose (Home)
Result: Win
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the San Jose Sharks.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Surging Sharks: San Jose has outscored its opposition 27-13 during a 6-0-1 stretch that includes a 3-0-1 mark in front of the home town crowd.
Superior goaltending: Sharks' goalie Martin Jones has won his last five starts behind a 1.76 GAA and has a 1.29 GAA while winning his last three at home.
Revenge factor: San Jose fell 2-0 to the Wild on December 12th.
ATS statistics: Note that Minnesota is just 4-6 (-3.1 units) after a win by two goals or more this season, while San Jose is 16-11 (+4 units) in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent.
The bottom line: Minnesota broke a five-game slide with a 3-0 win at LA last time out and now finishes a long road trip, suffice it to say we think this sets up as a natural letdown spot. The SHARKS have a ton of different situational, motivational and statistical factors working in their favor and there's no doubt that the price is right on this one, lay it with confidence.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Surging Sharks: San Jose has outscored its opposition 27-13 during a 6-0-1 stretch that includes a 3-0-1 mark in front of the home town crowd.
Superior goaltending: Sharks' goalie Martin Jones has won his last five starts behind a 1.76 GAA and has a 1.29 GAA while winning his last three at home.
Revenge factor: San Jose fell 2-0 to the Wild on December 12th.
ATS statistics: Note that Minnesota is just 4-6 (-3.1 units) after a win by two goals or more this season, while San Jose is 16-11 (+4 units) in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent.
The bottom line: Minnesota broke a five-game slide with a 3-0 win at LA last time out and now finishes a long road trip, suffice it to say we think this sets up as a natural letdown spot. The SHARKS have a ton of different situational, motivational and statistical factors working in their favor and there's no doubt that the price is right on this one, lay it with confidence.
AAA Sports
