PREMIUM
AAA's Afternoon 3-Game CBB DESTRUCTION PASS (+$2.5K CBB in 2016!)
(NCAAB) Fresno State vs. Air Force,
Point Spread: 7.50 | -107.00 Air Force (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 7.50 | -107.00 Air Force (Home)
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on Air Force.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivated home side: The Falcons are just 1-5 in Conference play and have lost five-straight.
Classic letdown spot: Fresno State is coming off a deflating 73-67 OT loss at SDSU last time out.
Revenge factor: The Bulldogs have won five straight in the series, most recently a hard-fought 68-66 victory on March 4th, 2015.
Close call Falcons: Air Force is 6-2 overall in games decided by seven points or less.
ATS statistics: Note that Fresno State is just 4-6 ATS vs. teams with winning records this year, while Air Force is 2-0 ATS in its last two as a home dog in the 5.5 to nine points range.
The bottom line: While we obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the FALCONS to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivated home side: The Falcons are just 1-5 in Conference play and have lost five-straight.
Classic letdown spot: Fresno State is coming off a deflating 73-67 OT loss at SDSU last time out.
Revenge factor: The Bulldogs have won five straight in the series, most recently a hard-fought 68-66 victory on March 4th, 2015.
Close call Falcons: Air Force is 6-2 overall in games decided by seven points or less.
ATS statistics: Note that Fresno State is just 4-6 ATS vs. teams with winning records this year, while Air Force is 2-0 ATS in its last two as a home dog in the 5.5 to nine points range.
The bottom line: While we obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the FALCONS to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.
AAA Sports
