PREMIUM
AAA's 5-Game MONEY-LINE DESTRUCTION PASS (10-3, 77% ALL Last Saturday!)
(NCAAB) Pittsburgh vs. Florida State,
Money Line: -140.00 Florida State (Home)
Result: Loss
Money Line: -140.00 Florida State (Home)
Result: Loss
6* MONEY-LINE play on Florida State.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:
Note that this is a spot in which Pittsburgh has struggled in mightily for bettors for a while now, just 5-11 ATS in its last 16 when playing the role of underdog and only 6-7 ATS vs. teams with winning records.
And note that this is a position which FSU has done extremely well in, going 2-1 ATS so far in true home games this season and 13-10 ATS in its last 23 off a loss vs. a conference rival.
The bottom line: These teams are very evenly matched, but when taking into account the above ATS stats, all signs do indeed point to FLORIDA STATE on the MONEY-LINE as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:
Note that this is a spot in which Pittsburgh has struggled in mightily for bettors for a while now, just 5-11 ATS in its last 16 when playing the role of underdog and only 6-7 ATS vs. teams with winning records.
And note that this is a position which FSU has done extremely well in, going 2-1 ATS so far in true home games this season and 13-10 ATS in its last 23 off a loss vs. a conference rival.
The bottom line: These teams are very evenly matched, but when taking into account the above ATS stats, all signs do indeed point to FLORIDA STATE on the MONEY-LINE as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
