AAA Sports' FREE PLAY
(NHL) Arizona vs. Minnesota,
Total: 5.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
1* Free Play UNDER Coyotes/Wild.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

If history is any precedence: Then all signs point to a classic low-scoring battle today, six of these team's last ten in the series have fallen below the posted number, including in Arizona's 2-1 win on December 15th. And note that the Coyotes have seen the total go UNDER the posted number in seven of their last ten overall, while Minnesota has seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of its last ten as well.

ATS statistics: And note that Arizona has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of 11 this year following a divisional contest and in six of nine after playing three consecutive home games, while Minnesota has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of seven this season after allowing four goals or more and in 14 of 19 vs. teams with losing records.

The bottom line: A history of tight, low-scoring games backed by some extremely strong UNDER trends does indeed make the UNDER worthy of a second look in this particular matchup.

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