PREMIUM
AAA's 10* TOTAL "ASSASSIN!" (405-335, +$41,598 NBA RUN!)
(NBA) Orlando vs. Memphis,
Total: 191.50 | -106.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 191.50 | -106.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the UNDER between the Orlando Magic and the Memphis Grizzlies.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
The Magic's ineptitude: Orlando is struggling with offensive consistency and has lost nine of its last ten. The Magic have been particularly feeble on the road, winning just one of their last five away from friendly confines (and note that Orlando has lost 12 of its last 13 in Memphis).
The surging home side: After a slow start to the season, the Grizzlies have been getting back to their trademark tough defensive style and they come into this one having won nine of their last ten in front of the home town crowd and four of their last five overall. They'll be especially motivated to return to form after falling 106-101 to the lowly Timberwovles on Saturday.
ATS statistics: Note that Orlando has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of four this year when playing with two days of rest and in seven of eight after three or more consecutive SU losses, while Memphis has seen the total dip below the posted number in six of ten this season after allowing 105 points or more and in four of six as a home fav in the 3.5 to six points range.
The bottom line: We're expecting a slower-paced affair, lots of half court sets while on offense and when taking into account the rest of the above factors, all signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
The Magic's ineptitude: Orlando is struggling with offensive consistency and has lost nine of its last ten. The Magic have been particularly feeble on the road, winning just one of their last five away from friendly confines (and note that Orlando has lost 12 of its last 13 in Memphis).
The surging home side: After a slow start to the season, the Grizzlies have been getting back to their trademark tough defensive style and they come into this one having won nine of their last ten in front of the home town crowd and four of their last five overall. They'll be especially motivated to return to form after falling 106-101 to the lowly Timberwovles on Saturday.
ATS statistics: Note that Orlando has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of four this year when playing with two days of rest and in seven of eight after three or more consecutive SU losses, while Memphis has seen the total dip below the posted number in six of ten this season after allowing 105 points or more and in four of six as a home fav in the 3.5 to six points range.
The bottom line: We're expecting a slower-paced affair, lots of half court sets while on offense and when taking into account the rest of the above factors, all signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
