PREMIUM
AAA's COAST-TO-COAST EXPRESS - 405-335 +$41,598 NBA RUN!
(NBA) Atlanta vs. Denver,
Point Spread: -5.00 | -107.00 Atlanta (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -5.00 | -107.00 Atlanta (Away)
Result: Win
This is an 8* COAST-TO-COAST EXPRESS on the Atlanta Hawks.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Hawks healing up: Atlanta is expected to welcome back Paul Millsap to the lineup. Millsap and the Hawks will be especially motivated today to break a two game slide, most recently a 98-95 setback at Phoenix on Saturday. Millsap leads the team with 18.4 points and 8.8 boards, but he's averaging 20.4 points and 53.5 percent shooting over his last eight away from friendly confines (if Millsap doesn't return, we still love this play as the team is expected to move Al Horford from center to fill the void, while placing Tiago Splitter in the middle).
Classic letdown spot: The Nuggets have been playing a bit better of late and come in off a 104-101 win over Detroit on Saturday; but note, Denver is a horrible 9-14 in front of the home town crowd this season.
Injured home side: Jameer Nelson and Kenneth Faried are both listed as doubtful/questionable and if they do play, they will not be at 100% capacity.
ATS statistics: Note that Atlanta is 16-11 ATS in its last 27 vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest and 7-5 ATS this year following an upset loss as a favorite, while Denver is just 10-12 ATS in front of the home town crowd and only 4-8 ATS off an upset win as an underdog.
The bottom line: We like a focused and determined ATLANTA team to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Hawks healing up: Atlanta is expected to welcome back Paul Millsap to the lineup. Millsap and the Hawks will be especially motivated today to break a two game slide, most recently a 98-95 setback at Phoenix on Saturday. Millsap leads the team with 18.4 points and 8.8 boards, but he's averaging 20.4 points and 53.5 percent shooting over his last eight away from friendly confines (if Millsap doesn't return, we still love this play as the team is expected to move Al Horford from center to fill the void, while placing Tiago Splitter in the middle).
Classic letdown spot: The Nuggets have been playing a bit better of late and come in off a 104-101 win over Detroit on Saturday; but note, Denver is a horrible 9-14 in front of the home town crowd this season.
Injured home side: Jameer Nelson and Kenneth Faried are both listed as doubtful/questionable and if they do play, they will not be at 100% capacity.
ATS statistics: Note that Atlanta is 16-11 ATS in its last 27 vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest and 7-5 ATS this year following an upset loss as a favorite, while Denver is just 10-12 ATS in front of the home town crowd and only 4-8 ATS off an upset win as an underdog.
The bottom line: We like a focused and determined ATLANTA team to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.
AAA Sports
