AAA's SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION - +$41,000 NBA RUN!
(NBA) Phoenix vs. Philadelphia,
Point Spread: 3.00 | -103.00 Phoenix (Away)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Phoenix Suns.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Momentum: These are a couple of horrible teams, the 76ers are just 6-39, while the Suns are 14-31. Phoenix though has a chance to string together back-to-back wins for the first time in seven weeks after snapping a six-game slide in Saturday's convincing 98-95 victory over the Hawks: "It's valuable experience for these guys to be in a game like that and win," assessed Suns' coach Jeff Hornacek afterwards.

Revenge: The Suns fell 111-104 to Philadelphia on December 26th, which snapped a five-game win skein in the series.

Inept home side: The 76ers have been particularly horrible of late, allowing at least 51 boards in four of their last six, while also holding a rebounding disadvantage in seven of their last eight.

ATS statistics: Note that Phoenix is already 2-1 ATS this year as a road dog of three points or less, while Philadelphia is a horrible 7-13 ATS after a loss by ten points or more.

The bottom line: We think there are enough factors working in favor of the visitors to pull the trigger on this one and while we obviously wouldn't be surprised by the outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the SUNS.

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