AAA's MID-CHALK CHOKE-OUT - +$22,000 NHL RUN!
(NHL) Chicago vs. Carolina,
Money Line: -134.00 Chicago (Away)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* MID-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Chicago Blackhawks.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Corey Crawford: The Hawks' netminder has posted a tiny 1.40 GAA while winning nine of his last ten starts, saving nearly 96 percent of the shots that he's faced in that span, while his .932 save percentage in 41 starts is amongst the league leaders. Crawford's counterpart Eddie Lack has been thrust into the spotlight after starting goaltender Cam Ward was injured two weeks ago. So far Lack has been all over the map with his performance.

Revenge factor: Chicago looks to close the first half of the season by stringing a couple of wins together (beat the Blues 2-0 on Sunday) and to avenge a 2-1 loss to the Hurricanes in late December.

ATS statistics: Note that the Blackhawks are 20-5 (+12 units) this season vs. teams with losing records and a perfect 3-0 (+3.1 units) in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent, while the Hurricanes are just 5-15 (-11 units) this year following a non-conference contest and 4-7 (-3 units) after scoring four goals or more in their previous game.

The bottom line: We definitely feel the price should be higher on this one, great value on the BLACKHAWKS.

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