PREMIUM
AAA's 10* *CODE RED* TOTAL BLOWOUT (Rockets/Spurs!)
(NBA) Houston vs. San Antonio,
Total: 206.00 | -107.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 206.00 | -107.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* CODE RED TOTAL BLOWOUT on the UNDER between the Houston Rockets and the San Antonio Spurs.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Bounce back time: The Spurs are coming off a humbling 30-point loss to the defending NBA champions and will be eager to return to form. San Antonio also lost to the Houston Rockets on Christmas Day and would then go on to win 13 in a row. San Antonio came into its game with Golden State as the No. 1 ranked defense and there's no question in our minds that it will be looking to take out its frustrations on the Rockets tonight, combined with also avenging the earlier loss.
If history is any precedence: These teams fought tooth and nail on Christmas Day, the Rockets clawed for an 88-84 victory in the end. We're expecting a similarly hard-fought, lower-scoring battle today.
Letdown spot: The Rockets have been without the services of big man Dwight Howard, but they've gone on to win three in a row, including a back-to-back set over the Mavericks on Sunday and the Pelicans on Monday. This one has all the makings of a letdown spot after the recent surge.
James Harden struggles: Harden has predictably stepped up his game with the absence of Howard, but note that he's always struggled against the Spurs throughout his career and is shooting just 36 percent over the last three in the series.
ATS statistics: Note that Houston has seen the total go UNDER the number in 11 of 16 as an underdog this season, while San Antonio has seen the total dip below the posted number in six of seven this year as a home fav in the 9.5 to 12 points range and in all three after allowing 105 points or more.
The bottom line: The situation and the trends do all indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Bounce back time: The Spurs are coming off a humbling 30-point loss to the defending NBA champions and will be eager to return to form. San Antonio also lost to the Houston Rockets on Christmas Day and would then go on to win 13 in a row. San Antonio came into its game with Golden State as the No. 1 ranked defense and there's no question in our minds that it will be looking to take out its frustrations on the Rockets tonight, combined with also avenging the earlier loss.
If history is any precedence: These teams fought tooth and nail on Christmas Day, the Rockets clawed for an 88-84 victory in the end. We're expecting a similarly hard-fought, lower-scoring battle today.
Letdown spot: The Rockets have been without the services of big man Dwight Howard, but they've gone on to win three in a row, including a back-to-back set over the Mavericks on Sunday and the Pelicans on Monday. This one has all the makings of a letdown spot after the recent surge.
James Harden struggles: Harden has predictably stepped up his game with the absence of Howard, but note that he's always struggled against the Spurs throughout his career and is shooting just 36 percent over the last three in the series.
ATS statistics: Note that Houston has seen the total go UNDER the number in 11 of 16 as an underdog this season, while San Antonio has seen the total dip below the posted number in six of seven this year as a home fav in the 9.5 to 12 points range and in all three after allowing 105 points or more.
The bottom line: The situation and the trends do all indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
