This is a 10* REVENGE ASSASSIN on the Utah Jazz.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

If history is any precedence: Then the home side has to be loving it chances today, Charlotte has lost eight straight in Salt Lake City, while averaging 84.0 points and 40.3 percent shooting.

Motivation: Charlotte has won three straight, while Utah has lost five of seven. We definitely feel this sets up as a natural letdown spot for the contented Hornets, while the Jazz will be risking life and limb as they look to break the slide. And note that home side also plays with revenge after falling 124-119 in double OT to Charlotte just last week.

ATS statistics: Note that Charlotte is just 6-13 ATS after a non-conference game and just 6-8 ATS this year after scoring 105 points or more, while Utah is 6-0 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite and 11-6 ATS this season in revenging a loss vs. an opponent.

The bottom line: The situations and trends do all indeed point to the JAZZ as the sharp wager in this one.

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