AAA's 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING (UNLOAD w/ CONFIDENCE!)
(NCAAB) DePaul vs. Butler,
Point Spread: -14.00 | -102.00 Butler (Home)
Result: Push
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Butler.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Desperation breeds motivation: The home side we figure will be especially pumped to break a recent string of sluggish play, after being ranked as high as 24th in the nation as little as two weeks ago, the Bulldogs' 2-5 start in conference play has the team hungry to atone tonight.

Slumping visitors: The Blue Demons are struggling, they've lost six of their last seven, all in conference play. And now the team comes to Butler in a "letdown" situation as well after a hugely satisfying 57-56 win over Marquette in Milwaukee.

ATS statistics: Note that DePaul is already just 1-2 ATS this year in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent and only 1-2 ATS after scoring 60 points or less, while Butler is 5-2 ATS vs. teams with losing records this season and 5-3 ATS as a home fav of 12.5 points or more.

The bottom line: The BULLDOGS have not been playing their best basketball of late, but that trend of futility ends today as they jump out to an early lead and never look back.

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