AAA's 10* IVY LEAGUE "ASSASSIN!"
(NCAAB) Princeton vs. Brown,
Point Spread: 8.50 | -110.00 Brown (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Brown.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivation levels: There's no question that this sets up as a bit of a letdown spot for the visitors, the Tigers have won four straight and seven of the last eight in this series. Not only will the Bears be looking to avenge those setbacks, they'll also be desperate to break a two-game slide, while also notching their first league victory.

Even Steven: These teams' offenses are very similar, Princeton averages 76.8 PPG, while Brown averages 73.8. They're also not that far apart defensively, as the Tigers give up 69.2, the Bears 76.6.

Classic look ahead spot: It's almost impossible not to imagine the visitors not looking ahead to their game vs. Yale tomorrow.

The bottom line: The situation and motivational factors are definitely working in favor of BROWN in our professional opinion.

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