PREMIUM
AAA's 10* COAST-TO-COAST TOTAL EXPRESS - 14-6 (70%) RUN!
(NBA) Golden State vs. Philadelphia,
Total: 217.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 217.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOTAL EXPRESS on the UNDER between the Golden State Warriors and the Philadelphia 76ers.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Letdown/look-ahead spot: The defending champs come into this one at 42-4 overall and having won five straight, including massive victories at Cleveland, at Chicago and then at home over the Pacers, Spurs and Mavericks. With a game in New York tomorrow night, it's obviously not too hard to imagine the Warriors coming into this one a bit complacent in facing the lowly 7-40 Philadelphia 76ers.
Dominant defensive play: The Warriors have held the 76ers to 37.9 percent shooting overall and 23.3 from 3-point range in taking all four meetings the last two seasons. However note, Golden State shot just 40 percent the last time vs. the 76ers, holding on for an 89-84 road victory on February 9th.
Inept offensive unit: The 76ers are last in the league in averaging 94.7 PPG. It's true that the Warriors lead the league in scoring, but note that Golden State has in fact shown a penchant to play to the lower-number in this spot already this season, having seen the total go UNDER the posted total in three of four this season after playing three consecutive home games and in two of three as a road fav of 12.5 points or more.
ATS statistics: Note that Philadelphia has seen the total go UNDER the number in 11 of 18 non-conference games already this year and in 14 of 25 after allowing 105 points or more.
The bottom line: The situation and numbers do all indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Letdown/look-ahead spot: The defending champs come into this one at 42-4 overall and having won five straight, including massive victories at Cleveland, at Chicago and then at home over the Pacers, Spurs and Mavericks. With a game in New York tomorrow night, it's obviously not too hard to imagine the Warriors coming into this one a bit complacent in facing the lowly 7-40 Philadelphia 76ers.
Dominant defensive play: The Warriors have held the 76ers to 37.9 percent shooting overall and 23.3 from 3-point range in taking all four meetings the last two seasons. However note, Golden State shot just 40 percent the last time vs. the 76ers, holding on for an 89-84 road victory on February 9th.
Inept offensive unit: The 76ers are last in the league in averaging 94.7 PPG. It's true that the Warriors lead the league in scoring, but note that Golden State has in fact shown a penchant to play to the lower-number in this spot already this season, having seen the total go UNDER the posted total in three of four this season after playing three consecutive home games and in two of three as a road fav of 12.5 points or more.
ATS statistics: Note that Philadelphia has seen the total go UNDER the number in 11 of 18 non-conference games already this year and in 14 of 25 after allowing 105 points or more.
The bottom line: The situation and numbers do all indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
