AAA's 10* REVENGE "ASSASSIN!" - +$40K NBA RUN!
(NBA) Sacramento vs. Memphis,
Point Spread: 2.50 | -105.00 Sacramento (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* REVENGE ASSASSIN on the Sacramento Kings.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivated and revenge minded: Sacramento is likely to be without head coach George Karl for this one, but there won't be any lack of motivation as the visitors desperately try to avoid a fourth straight loss, while also looking to snap a ten-game losing streak in Memphis.

ATS statistics: Note that Sacramento has dominated in this spot for bettors all season long, going 12-10 ATS on the road, 4-2 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses and 14-7 ATS vs. teams with winning records. And note, despite their recent surge the Grizzlies have been brutal in this position, going just 7-11 ATS following a non-conference game, only 3-6 ATS following a victory by ten points or more and a poor 13-16 ATS this season vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest.

The bottom line: From a situational and trend based stand point, all signs do indeed point to the KINGS as the savvy move in this one.

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