PREMIUM
AAA's 10* ULTRA-EARLY MID-MAJOR MAULING - 14-6 (70%) RUN!
(NCAAB) Fordham vs. Massachusetts,
Point Spread: 5.00 | -110.00 Fordham (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 5.00 | -110.00 Fordham (Away)
Result: Win
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Fordham.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Revenge: The Minutemen swept the series last year, winning by eight in Amherst.
Best Rams team in a decade?" Fordham is 11-8 SU (UMass is 8-11), already posting its most overall wins in eight years. In fact the Rams scoring average of 72.4 PPG is the school's best in over 15 seasons.
Downward spiral: It's true that Fordham has lost two straight, but the Minutemen have dropped six in a row, most recently a 78-70 setback at St. Joe's on Wednesday. The good news for UMass though was it was the closest setback during its slide and the fewest points allowed as well. Note that only one Minuteman even reached double figures in scoring.
ATS statistics: Note that Fordham is not surprisingly, a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three vs. poor defensive teams which allow 77-plus points per contest, while UMass is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine vs. teams with winning records.
The bottom line: While we obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the under the radar RAMS to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and sneak in through the back door down the stretch.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Revenge: The Minutemen swept the series last year, winning by eight in Amherst.
Best Rams team in a decade?" Fordham is 11-8 SU (UMass is 8-11), already posting its most overall wins in eight years. In fact the Rams scoring average of 72.4 PPG is the school's best in over 15 seasons.
Downward spiral: It's true that Fordham has lost two straight, but the Minutemen have dropped six in a row, most recently a 78-70 setback at St. Joe's on Wednesday. The good news for UMass though was it was the closest setback during its slide and the fewest points allowed as well. Note that only one Minuteman even reached double figures in scoring.
ATS statistics: Note that Fordham is not surprisingly, a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three vs. poor defensive teams which allow 77-plus points per contest, while UMass is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine vs. teams with winning records.
The bottom line: While we obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the under the radar RAMS to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and sneak in through the back door down the stretch.
AAA Sports
