This is a 10* Pac-12 ASSASSIN on USC.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Home court advantage: After an 81-71 win over Washington State on Thursday, USC has won its first 12 in front of the home town crowd.

Revenge factor: These teams played on January 3rd and Washington would leave that one with an 87-85 victory.

ATS statistics: Note that Washington is 11-17 ATS in its last 28 after allowing 80 points or more, while USC is 9-3 ATS at home this season.

The bottom line: The situation and the trends do indeed point to USC as the savvy move in this contest.

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