AAA's ULTRA-EARLY NON-CONF TOTAL BLOWOUT!
(NBA) Sacramento vs. Boston,
Total: 219.00 | -110.00 Under
Result: Win
This is an 8* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the OVER between the Sacramento Kings and the Boston Celtics.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Surging home side: The C's have won eight of nine, including three straight. Keep your eyes on Avery Bradley, who finished with 14 points, while going 4 of 8 from 3-point range in his team's 104-103 victory over Cleveland on Friday. Boston now holds a 7.5 game lead over New York for second in the Atlantic. The Celtics have also won six straight at home.

Desperation breeds motivation: The visitors come in off a humbling setback to Brooklyn on Friday and have now dropped six of seven, while allowing 116.4 points per game with the opposition shooting 44.9 percent from 3-point land. Kings' head coach George Karl is once again on the hot seat as his team looks to avenge a 114-97 setback to Boston in front of the home town crowd on December 3rd.

Brutal defensive play: Could be easier said than done though in trying to keep up with the young Celtics today, especially taking into account the fact that Sacramento has lost four straight on the road while allowing an average of 121 points and 50 percent shooting from 3-point range in the process.

ATS statistics: Note that Sacramento has seen the total go OVER the number in six of eight this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while Boston has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of 12 non-conference contests and in four of six after playing to three or more consecutive UNDERs.

The bottom line: We're expecting a faster paced game and a quick flow = more shots and more shots = more points. Play on the OVER.

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