PREMIUM
AAA's SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION!
(NBA) Washington vs. New York,
Point Spread: -1.50 | -103.00 New York (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -1.50 | -103.00 New York (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the New York Knicks.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
New York coaching change: When a struggling team makes a coaching change in the middle of the season, one of two things invariably happens: either the team responds, or nothing changes and it continues to spiral down the proverbial crapper. We think the former will be the case though, at least for tonight as Kurt Rambis will now take the reigns for the first time since the Knicks let go of Derek Fisher.
Perfect opponent to get untracked against: New York looks to regain the form which saw it dominate the first month and a half of the season and a date vs. the struggling Wizards is just what the doctor ordered, Washington has dropped eight of 11 while allowing 111.4 PPG.
Revenge factor: New York did manage to beat Washington 117-110 on October 31st to snap a seven-game win slide in the series, but the Knicks will still be eager to break a four-game losing streak in the series at Madison Square Garden.
ATS statistics: Note that Washington is already 0-3 ATS this season as a road underdog of three points or less and just 5-6 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while New York is 7-5 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU losses and 11-8 ATS following a non-conference contest.
The bottom line: The coaching change, the revenge factor, plenty of strong ATS statistics, all signs do indeed point to the KNICKS as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
New York coaching change: When a struggling team makes a coaching change in the middle of the season, one of two things invariably happens: either the team responds, or nothing changes and it continues to spiral down the proverbial crapper. We think the former will be the case though, at least for tonight as Kurt Rambis will now take the reigns for the first time since the Knicks let go of Derek Fisher.
Perfect opponent to get untracked against: New York looks to regain the form which saw it dominate the first month and a half of the season and a date vs. the struggling Wizards is just what the doctor ordered, Washington has dropped eight of 11 while allowing 111.4 PPG.
Revenge factor: New York did manage to beat Washington 117-110 on October 31st to snap a seven-game win slide in the series, but the Knicks will still be eager to break a four-game losing streak in the series at Madison Square Garden.
ATS statistics: Note that Washington is already 0-3 ATS this season as a road underdog of three points or less and just 5-6 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while New York is 7-5 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU losses and 11-8 ATS following a non-conference contest.
The bottom line: The coaching change, the revenge factor, plenty of strong ATS statistics, all signs do indeed point to the KNICKS as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
