PREMIUM
AAA's 10* EAST-COAST EXPRESS (ALL AABBOOAARRDD!)
(NBA) Boston vs. Milwaukee,
Point Spread: 4.50 | -108.00 Milwaukee (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 4.50 | -108.00 Milwaukee (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* EXPRESS on the Milwaukee Bucks.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivation levels: Boston is rolling, it's won nine of its last ten, most recently a 128-119 victory over Sacramento on Sunday. That also included a hugely satisfying victory over Cleveland on Friday. The Bucks on the other hand will be playing with extreme desperation as they look to break a season-high five-game slide. Desperation breeds motivation while winning leads to contentedness.
Revenge factor: The Bucks play with revenge today, they fell 99-83 at home to Boston on November 10th. Note that Milwaukee has in fact dropped two straight and seven of their last ten to the C's in front of the home town crowd.
Getting healthier: The home side expects a big boost today with the return from OJ Mayo, who has been sitting for 11 games with a hamstring injury (one other players to keep your eyes on today is Bucks' centre Greg Monroe, who is averaging 20.5 points on 56.3 percent shooting over his last eight games).
ATS statistics: Note that Boston is just 3-5 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses.
The bottom line: The situational, motivational, personnel and trend based factors do all indeed point to the BUCKS as the sharp move in this contest.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivation levels: Boston is rolling, it's won nine of its last ten, most recently a 128-119 victory over Sacramento on Sunday. That also included a hugely satisfying victory over Cleveland on Friday. The Bucks on the other hand will be playing with extreme desperation as they look to break a season-high five-game slide. Desperation breeds motivation while winning leads to contentedness.
Revenge factor: The Bucks play with revenge today, they fell 99-83 at home to Boston on November 10th. Note that Milwaukee has in fact dropped two straight and seven of their last ten to the C's in front of the home town crowd.
Getting healthier: The home side expects a big boost today with the return from OJ Mayo, who has been sitting for 11 games with a hamstring injury (one other players to keep your eyes on today is Bucks' centre Greg Monroe, who is averaging 20.5 points on 56.3 percent shooting over his last eight games).
ATS statistics: Note that Boston is just 3-5 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses.
The bottom line: The situational, motivational, personnel and trend based factors do all indeed point to the BUCKS as the sharp move in this contest.
AAA Sports
