PREMIUM
AAA's NON-CONF. SUPER-BLOWOUT!
(NBA) Denver vs. Detroit,
Point Spread: -5.50 | -105.00 Detroit (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -5.50 | -105.00 Detroit (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* SUPER-BLOWOUT on the Detroit Pistons.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Revenge motivation: The home side will be looking to avoid its first three-game skid since December, while also out to avenge a loss to the Nuggets in Denver just last month.
Letdown/look-ahead spot: Denver has been playing a lot better lately, especially for bettors, covering the spread in eight of its last ten. It had won two in a row SU and seven straight ATS until a 105-104 loss as a 2.5 point favorite in Brooklyn on Monday. It's hard to gain momentum back after losing it and with eight days off for the All Star break after this contest, there's no question in our minds that this does indeed set up as a classic letdown/look-ahead spot for the visitors.
ATS statistics: Note that Denver is just 1-2 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while Detroit is 15-12 ATS this season in revenging a loss vs. an opponent.
The bottom line: We expect the visitors to check out of this one early and for the hungry PISTONS to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Revenge motivation: The home side will be looking to avoid its first three-game skid since December, while also out to avenge a loss to the Nuggets in Denver just last month.
Letdown/look-ahead spot: Denver has been playing a lot better lately, especially for bettors, covering the spread in eight of its last ten. It had won two in a row SU and seven straight ATS until a 105-104 loss as a 2.5 point favorite in Brooklyn on Monday. It's hard to gain momentum back after losing it and with eight days off for the All Star break after this contest, there's no question in our minds that this does indeed set up as a classic letdown/look-ahead spot for the visitors.
ATS statistics: Note that Denver is just 1-2 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while Detroit is 15-12 ATS this season in revenging a loss vs. an opponent.
The bottom line: We expect the visitors to check out of this one early and for the hungry PISTONS to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.
AAA Sports
