1* Free Play on Georgia Bulldogs.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Momentum: The home side comes in having won three of its last four, including a 66-57 victory at Mississippi State as a 4 point underdog on Saturday. Keep your eyes on Bulldogs' forward Yante Maten who had a career-high 25 points. Georgia was particularly effective on the defensive end of the floor, holding Mississippi State to just 30.9 percent shooting from the field, while also forcing nine turnovers.

Revenge factor: Georgia lost the first matchup of the year, 77-63 on January 2nd, also failing to cover the spread.

Look ahead spot: The Gators are playing a bit inconsistently right now, trading wins and losses over their last four games and it's not too had to imagine the team in some small way "looking past" the Bulldogs today to their game at 21-4 South Carolina on the weekend.

ATS statistics: Note that Florida is just 2-4 ATS/SU its last six at Georgia, while the Bulldogs are 9-1 SU their last ten at home.

The bottom line: We feel there are enough situational and trend based factors to warrant a second look at GEORGIA in this matchup.

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