PREMIUM
AAA's *WVU/Texas* BIG-12 BLOCKBUSTER - Off 3-0 (100%) Monday!
(NCAAB) West Virginia vs. Texas,
Point Spread: 2.50 | -107.00 West Virginia (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 2.50 | -107.00 West Virginia (Away)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER on West Virginia.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
It's payback time: The surging 20-5 Mountaineers can avenge two of their three leagues losses this week and it starts tonight vs. No. 24 Texas. The Longhorns took advantage of a complacent WVU team which had just beaten then No. 1 Kansas, giving the Mountaineers a serious reality check in the 56-49 victory. Since then though WVU has gone on to win five of six in the Big 12 to move into a tie with the Jayhawks atop the leaderboard. Momentum is definitely on the visitors side, they'd most recently annihilate TCU 73-42 on Saturday.
Top notch defensive play: Note that the Mountaineers would force 26 turnovers in the victory over TCU, which would wind up leading to 26 points. WVU is the Division I leader in steals and takeaways per game.
Cracks in the armor: The Longhorns' vaunted defensive unit has come up short of late, allowing the Cyclones to shoot 55.4 percent and to score 49 second-half points in a 85-75 setback on Saturday. Texas would wind up getting outscored 48-34 in the paint.
Lacking down the middle: Note that the Longhorns have been out rebounded by 2.6 per game in league play, a big time area that WVU can take advantage of as the Mountaineers also top Division I in offensive rebounding.
ATS statistics: Note that WVU is 5-3 ATS this season off a win vs. a conference rival, while Teas is just 1-3 ATS after allowing 80 points or more.
The bottom line: While we obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on WEST VIRGINIA.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
It's payback time: The surging 20-5 Mountaineers can avenge two of their three leagues losses this week and it starts tonight vs. No. 24 Texas. The Longhorns took advantage of a complacent WVU team which had just beaten then No. 1 Kansas, giving the Mountaineers a serious reality check in the 56-49 victory. Since then though WVU has gone on to win five of six in the Big 12 to move into a tie with the Jayhawks atop the leaderboard. Momentum is definitely on the visitors side, they'd most recently annihilate TCU 73-42 on Saturday.
Top notch defensive play: Note that the Mountaineers would force 26 turnovers in the victory over TCU, which would wind up leading to 26 points. WVU is the Division I leader in steals and takeaways per game.
Cracks in the armor: The Longhorns' vaunted defensive unit has come up short of late, allowing the Cyclones to shoot 55.4 percent and to score 49 second-half points in a 85-75 setback on Saturday. Texas would wind up getting outscored 48-34 in the paint.
Lacking down the middle: Note that the Longhorns have been out rebounded by 2.6 per game in league play, a big time area that WVU can take advantage of as the Mountaineers also top Division I in offensive rebounding.
ATS statistics: Note that WVU is 5-3 ATS this season off a win vs. a conference rival, while Teas is just 1-3 ATS after allowing 80 points or more.
The bottom line: While we obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on WEST VIRGINIA.
AAA Sports
