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AAA's 10* MAC DESTRUCTION - +$46.7K RUN w/ 10* PICKS!
(NCAAB) Buffalo vs. Akron,
Point Spread: 8.50 | -107.00 Buffalo (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 8.50 | -107.00 Buffalo (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Buffalo.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few simple common sense factors:
Revenge: Buffalo fell to Akron 75-71 on January 5th.
Motivation: After back-to-back SU/ATS losses, the Bulls will be hungry here to break back into the win column. Conversely, after surging to seven straight SU/ATS victories, Akron is coming off an 80-79 loss at Northern Illinois as a 2-point favorite. Once momentum has been lost, there's no question that it's difficult to get it back.
Look ahead spot: On top of this being a prime letdown spot, it also sets up as a classic look-ahead scenario with a game at Kent State on Friday.
ATS statistics: Note that Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last seven in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent and 4-1 ATS this season after allowing 80 points or more, while Akron is just 2-3 ATS in its last five as a home fav in the 6.5 to nine points range and already 0-2 ATS this year off a loss vs. a conference rival.
The bottom line: While we won't be so bold as to call for the outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the visitors to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few simple common sense factors:
Revenge: Buffalo fell to Akron 75-71 on January 5th.
Motivation: After back-to-back SU/ATS losses, the Bulls will be hungry here to break back into the win column. Conversely, after surging to seven straight SU/ATS victories, Akron is coming off an 80-79 loss at Northern Illinois as a 2-point favorite. Once momentum has been lost, there's no question that it's difficult to get it back.
Look ahead spot: On top of this being a prime letdown spot, it also sets up as a classic look-ahead scenario with a game at Kent State on Friday.
ATS statistics: Note that Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last seven in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent and 4-1 ATS this season after allowing 80 points or more, while Akron is just 2-3 ATS in its last five as a home fav in the 6.5 to nine points range and already 0-2 ATS this year off a loss vs. a conference rival.
The bottom line: While we won't be so bold as to call for the outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the visitors to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.
AAA Sports
