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(NBA) Indiana vs. Oklahoma City,
Point Spread: 9.00 | -110.00 Indiana (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 9.00 | -110.00 Indiana (Away)
Result: Win
1* Free Play Pacers.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
We're basing this prediction on a couple of simple, but what we feel to be key factors:
Classic look-ahead spot: With a game vs. the Cavaliers at home on Sunday, followed by a road trip in Dallas and at New Orleans next week, it's not too hard to imagine the home side in some small way looking ahead to those much more "important" contests.
ATS statistics: Note that Indiana is 19-7-2 ATS in its last 28 when playing with three or more days rest, while OKC is is just 15-15 ATS at home this season and only 3-7 ATS in its last ten overall.
The bottom line: When taking into account the "spot" situation and these strong trends, in our professional opinion the PACERS are absolutely worthy of a second look in this position.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
We're basing this prediction on a couple of simple, but what we feel to be key factors:
Classic look-ahead spot: With a game vs. the Cavaliers at home on Sunday, followed by a road trip in Dallas and at New Orleans next week, it's not too hard to imagine the home side in some small way looking ahead to those much more "important" contests.
ATS statistics: Note that Indiana is 19-7-2 ATS in its last 28 when playing with three or more days rest, while OKC is is just 15-15 ATS at home this season and only 3-7 ATS in its last ten overall.
The bottom line: When taking into account the "spot" situation and these strong trends, in our professional opinion the PACERS are absolutely worthy of a second look in this position.
AAA Sports
