PREMIUM
AAA's VERY EARLY SEC ASSASSIN - +$4.5K CBB RUN CONTINUES!
(NCAAB) Georgia vs. Vanderbilt,
Point Spread: -8.00 | -103.00 Vanderbilt (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -8.00 | -103.00 Vanderbilt (Home)
Result: Win
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Vanderbilt.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
They are evenly matched, so where's the advantage?: There's no question that these teams are evenly matched, Georgia enters off a loss to Florida and is 14-10 overall and 7-6 in conference, while Vanderbilt comes in off a tough setback to Mississippi State and which has also won three of its last five. But it was the way that Vandy lost which we feel will motivate the team after a three-point buzzer beater sealed its fate. And this was after leading by as many as 17 points in the second half (note that the Bulldogs are 36-17 ATS in their last 53 following an ATS loss).
ATS statistics: Note that Georgia is just 1-6 ATS this year after allowing 60 points or less, while Vanderbilt is 7-4 ATS in front of the home town crowd.
The bottom line: After taking all of the above info into consideration, while also taking into account that the home side does also play with revenge today after falling 70-62 to Georgia last season, it is in our professional opinion that VANDERBILT is indeed the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
They are evenly matched, so where's the advantage?: There's no question that these teams are evenly matched, Georgia enters off a loss to Florida and is 14-10 overall and 7-6 in conference, while Vanderbilt comes in off a tough setback to Mississippi State and which has also won three of its last five. But it was the way that Vandy lost which we feel will motivate the team after a three-point buzzer beater sealed its fate. And this was after leading by as many as 17 points in the second half (note that the Bulldogs are 36-17 ATS in their last 53 following an ATS loss).
ATS statistics: Note that Georgia is just 1-6 ATS this year after allowing 60 points or less, while Vanderbilt is 7-4 ATS in front of the home town crowd.
The bottom line: After taking all of the above info into consideration, while also taking into account that the home side does also play with revenge today after falling 70-62 to Georgia last season, it is in our professional opinion that VANDERBILT is indeed the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
