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AAA's VERY EARLY 10* "BIG TIGER!" +$45K RUN w/ 10* PICKS!
(NCAAB) Florida vs. South Carolina,
Point Spread: -2.50 | -106.00 South Carolina (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -2.50 | -106.00 South Carolina (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on South Carolina.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivation: The Gators are 17-9 and have won four of their last six. The Gamecocks are 21-5, but have lost two straight and three of their last five. For us, this sets up nicely, it's a natural letdown spot for the visitors, while the home side will be desperate to prove that it's opening season surge was no fluke.
Look deeper into the numbers: If you look a little closer at Florida's 17-9 record, you realize that it's just 1-5 vs. ranked teams this season, a lone victory came over WVU in January.
ATS statistics: Note that Florida is just 3-4 ATS this year off a win vs. a conference rival and only 1-4 ATS in February, while South Carolina is 8-3 ATS at home and 14-6 ATS when playing the role of favorite.
The bottom line: There's no way this game means more to the Gators than it does to the GAMECOCKS, we're backing the hungry and desperate home side.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivation: The Gators are 17-9 and have won four of their last six. The Gamecocks are 21-5, but have lost two straight and three of their last five. For us, this sets up nicely, it's a natural letdown spot for the visitors, while the home side will be desperate to prove that it's opening season surge was no fluke.
Look deeper into the numbers: If you look a little closer at Florida's 17-9 record, you realize that it's just 1-5 vs. ranked teams this season, a lone victory came over WVU in January.
ATS statistics: Note that Florida is just 3-4 ATS this year off a win vs. a conference rival and only 1-4 ATS in February, while South Carolina is 8-3 ATS at home and 14-6 ATS when playing the role of favorite.
The bottom line: There's no way this game means more to the Gators than it does to the GAMECOCKS, we're backing the hungry and desperate home side.
AAA Sports
