PREMIUM
AAA's SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION - +$4.5K CBB RUN CONTINUES!
(NCAAB) Mississippi vs. Auburn,
Point Spread: -5.00 | -106.00 Mississippi (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -5.00 | -106.00 Mississippi (Away)
Result: Win
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Mississippi.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivation levels: We feel Mississippi comes in highly motivated and focused on the task at hand. It's 16-10 SU and 6-7 in the SEC and will be looking to get back on track after losing two of its last three to fall to ninth in conference. While conversely, we believe that Auburn is set up for a major letdown after it upset Arkansas on the road, 90-86 to break a seven-game losing slide.
Recent history: Revenge is a powerful motivating factor, but in some instances it can be over-rated and that's the case with this one in our opinion. Ole Miss dominated Auburn 80-63 at home in the first meeting and we expect a similar final outcome today. If Mississippi had come into this one on a win streak, we'd have likely taken Auburn in this spot, but because of the recent losing skid, the "revenge factor" gets thrown out the window in this case. In the first meeting, the Rebels held the Tigers to just 37 percent shooting, while also out rebounding them 35-28.
ATS statistics: Ole Miss is 6-2 ATS in its last eight following an ATS loss and 4-1-1 ATS in its last six on the road, while Auburn is just 1-5 ATS its last six following an ATS victory and 2-6 ATS in its last eight overall.
The bottom line: Ole Miss would beat Arkansas by 16 last Saturday, there's no way that Auburn shoots over 60 percent from the floor again. We're expecting a rout, play on MISSISSIPPI.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivation levels: We feel Mississippi comes in highly motivated and focused on the task at hand. It's 16-10 SU and 6-7 in the SEC and will be looking to get back on track after losing two of its last three to fall to ninth in conference. While conversely, we believe that Auburn is set up for a major letdown after it upset Arkansas on the road, 90-86 to break a seven-game losing slide.
Recent history: Revenge is a powerful motivating factor, but in some instances it can be over-rated and that's the case with this one in our opinion. Ole Miss dominated Auburn 80-63 at home in the first meeting and we expect a similar final outcome today. If Mississippi had come into this one on a win streak, we'd have likely taken Auburn in this spot, but because of the recent losing skid, the "revenge factor" gets thrown out the window in this case. In the first meeting, the Rebels held the Tigers to just 37 percent shooting, while also out rebounding them 35-28.
ATS statistics: Ole Miss is 6-2 ATS in its last eight following an ATS loss and 4-1-1 ATS in its last six on the road, while Auburn is just 1-5 ATS its last six following an ATS victory and 2-6 ATS in its last eight overall.
The bottom line: Ole Miss would beat Arkansas by 16 last Saturday, there's no way that Auburn shoots over 60 percent from the floor again. We're expecting a rout, play on MISSISSIPPI.
AAA Sports
