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AAA's 10* PAC-12 *RED DRAGON!* - +$45K ALL 10* PICKS!
(NCAAB) Oregon State vs. Oregon,
Point Spread: -12.00 | 100.00 Oregon (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -12.00 | 100.00 Oregon (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Oregon.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
It's payback time: Oregon State beat the Ducks 70-57 in Corvallis on January 3rd, Oregon had come into that game having won four straight and seven of eight in the series previous to that. Oregon is 88th in the nation in averaging 77.3 PPG.
Letdown spot: After winning three straight, the Beavers got spanked 83-71 at Cal last Saturday. Momentum is hard to gain, but it's even harder to get it back once lost. Note that Oregon State is ranked 235th in the nation in putting up an average of 71 PPG.
ATS statistics: Oregon State is just 2-9 ATS in its last 11 on the road vs. teams with a home winning percentage of at least .600 and only 2-10 ATS in their last 12 on the road vs. teams with winning home records, while Oregon is 8-1 ATS in its last nine at home vs. teams with a road winning percentage of below .400, 8-1 ATS in its last nine at home vs. teams with a losing road record and 6-1 ATS in their last seven vs. teams with winning records overall.
The bottom line: Oregon is 15-0 in Eugene this season, while Oregon State is just 3-5 on the road. With a chance to avenge the earlier loss to their arch-rival, we look for the DUCKS to put the pedal to the metal from start to finish.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
It's payback time: Oregon State beat the Ducks 70-57 in Corvallis on January 3rd, Oregon had come into that game having won four straight and seven of eight in the series previous to that. Oregon is 88th in the nation in averaging 77.3 PPG.
Letdown spot: After winning three straight, the Beavers got spanked 83-71 at Cal last Saturday. Momentum is hard to gain, but it's even harder to get it back once lost. Note that Oregon State is ranked 235th in the nation in putting up an average of 71 PPG.
ATS statistics: Oregon State is just 2-9 ATS in its last 11 on the road vs. teams with a home winning percentage of at least .600 and only 2-10 ATS in their last 12 on the road vs. teams with winning home records, while Oregon is 8-1 ATS in its last nine at home vs. teams with a road winning percentage of below .400, 8-1 ATS in its last nine at home vs. teams with a losing road record and 6-1 ATS in their last seven vs. teams with winning records overall.
The bottom line: Oregon is 15-0 in Eugene this season, while Oregon State is just 3-5 on the road. With a chance to avenge the earlier loss to their arch-rival, we look for the DUCKS to put the pedal to the metal from start to finish.
AAA Sports
