PREMIUM
AAA's BIG-WEST BAILOUT-BLOWOUT - +$4.5K CBB RUN CONTINUES!
(NCAAB) Hawaii vs. UC Irvine,
Point Spread: -2.50 | -105.00 UC Irvine (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -2.50 | -105.00 UC Irvine (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* BIG-WEST BAILOUT-BLOWOUT on Cal Irvine.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Both teams are rolling, so where's the advantage?: Hawaii has won five straight, most recently a 69-63 road victory over Cal State on Thursday, while UC Irvine has won two straight and three of four after destroying Cal State Fullerton 96-77 on the road on Wednesday. The clincher for us today though is the very real "revenge factor" in which the Anteaters play with today after the Rainbow Warriors took the first meeting of the season, a 74-52 spanking on February 12th.
ATS statistics: Note that Hawaii is just 6-14-1 ATS in its last 21 road games vs. teams with a home winning percentage above .600, while UC Irvine is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 vs. the conference and 9-4 ATS in its last 13 at home vs. teams with a road winning percentage above .600.
The bottom line: These teams are very evenly matched, but the revenge factor, combined with the home floor advantage and these strong trends do indeed make the ANTEATERS the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Both teams are rolling, so where's the advantage?: Hawaii has won five straight, most recently a 69-63 road victory over Cal State on Thursday, while UC Irvine has won two straight and three of four after destroying Cal State Fullerton 96-77 on the road on Wednesday. The clincher for us today though is the very real "revenge factor" in which the Anteaters play with today after the Rainbow Warriors took the first meeting of the season, a 74-52 spanking on February 12th.
ATS statistics: Note that Hawaii is just 6-14-1 ATS in its last 21 road games vs. teams with a home winning percentage above .600, while UC Irvine is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 vs. the conference and 9-4 ATS in its last 13 at home vs. teams with a road winning percentage above .600.
The bottom line: These teams are very evenly matched, but the revenge factor, combined with the home floor advantage and these strong trends do indeed make the ANTEATERS the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
