PREMIUM
AAA's 10* Conference GAME OF THE YEAR - +$40K RUN w/ 10*'s!
(NCAAB) Washington vs. Oregon,
Point Spread: -10.00 | -102.00 Oregon (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -10.00 | -102.00 Oregon (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* PAC-12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Oregon.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Home sweet home: The Ducks are still in No. 1 in the Pac-12 and after back-to-back victories over Oregon State and Washington State, they've now won a school record 24 straight in front of the home town crowd. So with two tough road games to finish the season, today's contest clearly takes on added importance for Oregon.
Stumbling down the stretch: A once promising season has gone by the way side for the Huskies, after a 7-3 start they've lost five of their last six. The team will still be lamenting its 82-81 setback at Oregon State last Thursday, in which a 3-pointer at the buzzer sealed their fate. And unfortunately, a date in Eugene is not what the doctor ordered to get untracked as they've lost five straight there.
Massive statistical discrepancies: Oregon averages a conference-low 10.3 turnovers and just 8.7 over its last six, while Washington's 14.4 giveaways are the most in the Pac-12.
ATS statistics: Note that Washington is just 13-20 ATS in its last 33 after allowing 80 points or more, while Oregon is 6-1 ATS its last seven vs. good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest.
The bottom line: This is a motivational mismatch, we're expecting a wire-to-wire rout, play on the DUCKS.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Home sweet home: The Ducks are still in No. 1 in the Pac-12 and after back-to-back victories over Oregon State and Washington State, they've now won a school record 24 straight in front of the home town crowd. So with two tough road games to finish the season, today's contest clearly takes on added importance for Oregon.
Stumbling down the stretch: A once promising season has gone by the way side for the Huskies, after a 7-3 start they've lost five of their last six. The team will still be lamenting its 82-81 setback at Oregon State last Thursday, in which a 3-pointer at the buzzer sealed their fate. And unfortunately, a date in Eugene is not what the doctor ordered to get untracked as they've lost five straight there.
Massive statistical discrepancies: Oregon averages a conference-low 10.3 turnovers and just 8.7 over its last six, while Washington's 14.4 giveaways are the most in the Pac-12.
ATS statistics: Note that Washington is just 13-20 ATS in its last 33 after allowing 80 points or more, while Oregon is 6-1 ATS its last seven vs. good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest.
The bottom line: This is a motivational mismatch, we're expecting a wire-to-wire rout, play on the DUCKS.
AAA Sports
