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AAA's 10* ESPN "ASSASSIN!" (*Syracuse/UNC!*) - +$40K RUN w/ 10* PICKS!
(NCAAB) Syracuse vs. North Carolina,
Point Spread: 11.50 | -110.00 Syracuse (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 11.50 | -110.00 Syracuse (Away)
Result: Win
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Syracuse.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Revenge game: North Carolina beat the Orange 84-73 on January 16th. In fact, this is a double revenge scenario after Syracuse fell 93-83 to the Tar Heels on January 26th, 2015 as well.
Momentum: Sure UNC is 23-6 and in a dog fight for top spot in the conference, but the Orange have been rolling as well, winning nine of their last 12. In fact, the Tar Heels have looked pretty ordinary of late, having split their last eight games. As far as overall consistency from game to game right now is concerned, the scales swing in favor of the Orange.
ATS statistics: Note that Syracuse is 4-1 ATS in its last five road games, while North Carolina is just 1-4-1 ATS in its last six following a straight up loss and interestingly, just 2-5-2 ATS in its last nine on Big Monday.
The bottom line: Syracuse has improved in leaps in bounds since the last time UNC saw it, especially on the defensive end of the floor. We think the oddsmakers are slow in recognizing this fact and while we won't be so bold as to call for an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the visitors to at the very least keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what we feel to be a very healthy spread afforded to them in this one. Play on the ORANGE.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Revenge game: North Carolina beat the Orange 84-73 on January 16th. In fact, this is a double revenge scenario after Syracuse fell 93-83 to the Tar Heels on January 26th, 2015 as well.
Momentum: Sure UNC is 23-6 and in a dog fight for top spot in the conference, but the Orange have been rolling as well, winning nine of their last 12. In fact, the Tar Heels have looked pretty ordinary of late, having split their last eight games. As far as overall consistency from game to game right now is concerned, the scales swing in favor of the Orange.
ATS statistics: Note that Syracuse is 4-1 ATS in its last five road games, while North Carolina is just 1-4-1 ATS in its last six following a straight up loss and interestingly, just 2-5-2 ATS in its last nine on Big Monday.
The bottom line: Syracuse has improved in leaps in bounds since the last time UNC saw it, especially on the defensive end of the floor. We think the oddsmakers are slow in recognizing this fact and while we won't be so bold as to call for an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the visitors to at the very least keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what we feel to be a very healthy spread afforded to them in this one. Play on the ORANGE.
AAA Sports
