PREMIUM
AAA's 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK - +$43K RUN w/ 10* PICKS!
(NBA) Orlando vs. Dallas,
Total: 214.00 | -107.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 214.00 | -107.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER between the Orlando Magic and the Dallas Mavericks.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Home sweet home: The Mavs would lose in Orlando 110-104 in OT on February 19th, which concluded a 1-5 stretch of futility. But Dallas has since turned it around by winning three of four during a critical six-game home-stand. Dallas will be out to avenge the earlier setback to the Magic obviously and we feel that sense of urgency will translate into production on the defensive end of the floor tonight.
Orlando still seeks consistency: The Magic are able to put points on the board with the best of them, but the team still lacks consistency on the defensive end of the floor. They'll be focusing on that end tonight as they look to steal another one from the Mavs; note though that this is in fact a spot in which Orlando has shown a penchant to playing to the lower-number, having seen the total go UNDER in 11 of 15 after scoring 105 points or more this year, in four of six after a victory by ten points or more, in 13 of 23 after allowing 105 points or more and in 20 of 38 vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest.
Further strong and relevant ATS statistics: Note that Dallas has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of seven as a home fav of 3.5 to six points this season and in nine of 13 following a victory by ten points or more.
The bottom line: While many are expecting a shootout, we think all signs point to a highly competitive and slightly slower paced affair this evening. Play on the UNDER.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Home sweet home: The Mavs would lose in Orlando 110-104 in OT on February 19th, which concluded a 1-5 stretch of futility. But Dallas has since turned it around by winning three of four during a critical six-game home-stand. Dallas will be out to avenge the earlier setback to the Magic obviously and we feel that sense of urgency will translate into production on the defensive end of the floor tonight.
Orlando still seeks consistency: The Magic are able to put points on the board with the best of them, but the team still lacks consistency on the defensive end of the floor. They'll be focusing on that end tonight as they look to steal another one from the Mavs; note though that this is in fact a spot in which Orlando has shown a penchant to playing to the lower-number, having seen the total go UNDER in 11 of 15 after scoring 105 points or more this year, in four of six after a victory by ten points or more, in 13 of 23 after allowing 105 points or more and in 20 of 38 vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest.
Further strong and relevant ATS statistics: Note that Dallas has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of seven as a home fav of 3.5 to six points this season and in nine of 13 following a victory by ten points or more.
The bottom line: While many are expecting a shootout, we think all signs point to a highly competitive and slightly slower paced affair this evening. Play on the UNDER.
AAA Sports
