PREMIUM
AAA's BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT (LAY IT & CASH IT!)
(NHL) Calgary vs. Boston,
Money Line: -203.00 Boston (Home)
Result: Win
Money Line: -203.00 Boston (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 5* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Boston Bruins.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a couple of common sense factors:
Scheduling: It doesn't take a rocket scientist to know that the Flames are going to be really tired here after falling 5-3 in Philadelphia just last night, a contest which they led 1-0 half way through the second period. That's now five straight losses for Calgary and with games at Buffalo and at Pittsburgh before the weekend, it's not too hard to imagine the team getting caught looking ahead to this gruelling part of its schedule.
Revenge: The Bruins lost 5-4 in OT to Calgary on December 4th. And after a listless 4-1 loss to the Lightning last time out, this sets up perfectly for the home side to bounce back in (and with games at home vs. Chicago and Washington later in the week, tonight's contest definitely takes on added importance).
ATS statistics: Note that Calgary is a miserable 3-6 (-2.6 units) this season when playing on back-to-back days, while Boston is 10-7 (+3.4 units) after allowing four goals or more in its previous contest.
The bottom line: No need to overanalyze this one, the odds are stacked in favor of the home side here, in our professional opinion this line should in fact be a lot larger. Play on BOSTON.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a couple of common sense factors:
Scheduling: It doesn't take a rocket scientist to know that the Flames are going to be really tired here after falling 5-3 in Philadelphia just last night, a contest which they led 1-0 half way through the second period. That's now five straight losses for Calgary and with games at Buffalo and at Pittsburgh before the weekend, it's not too hard to imagine the team getting caught looking ahead to this gruelling part of its schedule.
Revenge: The Bruins lost 5-4 in OT to Calgary on December 4th. And after a listless 4-1 loss to the Lightning last time out, this sets up perfectly for the home side to bounce back in (and with games at home vs. Chicago and Washington later in the week, tonight's contest definitely takes on added importance).
ATS statistics: Note that Calgary is a miserable 3-6 (-2.6 units) this season when playing on back-to-back days, while Boston is 10-7 (+3.4 units) after allowing four goals or more in its previous contest.
The bottom line: No need to overanalyze this one, the odds are stacked in favor of the home side here, in our professional opinion this line should in fact be a lot larger. Play on BOSTON.
AAA Sports
