PREMIUM
AAA's 3-GAME TOP TOTALS PASS (3-0, 100% S-W-E-E-P ANTICIPATED!)
(NBA) New Orleans vs. Houston,
Total: 219.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 219.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the New Orleans Pelicans and the Houston Rockets.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Do or die time for the Rockets: Houston had big hopes heading into this season, but at 29-31, clearly the team is reeling and desperate. With James Harden and Dwight Howard on the team, scoring was never going to be an issue. The Rockets though have taken a big step back defensively. But with a chance to reverse their fortunes against what could possibly be a Pelicans team without big man Anthony Davis in the line-up due to injury (note, even if Davis does play we're not expecting the Pelicans' center to be 100% effective), we're looking for a much better result on that end of the floor tonight: "The offense, for us, will come easy. We can score the ball. We all know that," interim coach J.B. Bickerstaff assessed last night. "The defensive end of the floor is where the problem is."
Letdown spot: New Orleans had won five of seven before losing to the Timberwolves on Saturday. Momentum is difficult to gain and once lost, is even harder to get back. With Davis not at 100%, there's no question in our minds that this does indeed set up as a classic letdown spot for the visitors.
ATS statistics: Note that New Orleans has seen the total go UNDER the number in 18 of 31 this year in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent, while Houston has seen the total fall below the posted number in eight of 14 off an upset loss as a favorite.
The bottom line: New Orleans' mid-season surge is over and it's once again back to feeling sorry for itself. Houston is hungry and with a chance to still make one last postseason push, we're expecting to see one of its most concerted efforts on the defensive end of the floor tonight. This one has the feel of more of a "chess match" than a "run and gun shootout," play on the UNDER.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Do or die time for the Rockets: Houston had big hopes heading into this season, but at 29-31, clearly the team is reeling and desperate. With James Harden and Dwight Howard on the team, scoring was never going to be an issue. The Rockets though have taken a big step back defensively. But with a chance to reverse their fortunes against what could possibly be a Pelicans team without big man Anthony Davis in the line-up due to injury (note, even if Davis does play we're not expecting the Pelicans' center to be 100% effective), we're looking for a much better result on that end of the floor tonight: "The offense, for us, will come easy. We can score the ball. We all know that," interim coach J.B. Bickerstaff assessed last night. "The defensive end of the floor is where the problem is."
Letdown spot: New Orleans had won five of seven before losing to the Timberwolves on Saturday. Momentum is difficult to gain and once lost, is even harder to get back. With Davis not at 100%, there's no question in our minds that this does indeed set up as a classic letdown spot for the visitors.
ATS statistics: Note that New Orleans has seen the total go UNDER the number in 18 of 31 this year in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent, while Houston has seen the total fall below the posted number in eight of 14 off an upset loss as a favorite.
The bottom line: New Orleans' mid-season surge is over and it's once again back to feeling sorry for itself. Houston is hungry and with a chance to still make one last postseason push, we're expecting to see one of its most concerted efforts on the defensive end of the floor tonight. This one has the feel of more of a "chess match" than a "run and gun shootout," play on the UNDER.
AAA Sports
