PREMIUM
AAA's *30-STAR* TOTALS REPORT (INCREDIBLE +$46K RUN w/ 10* PICKS!)
(NBA) New Orleans vs. Memphis,
Total: 202.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 202.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* play on the UNDER between the New Orleans Pelicans and the Memphis Grizzlies.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Major injuries: The Grizzlies are the walking wounded right now, starting PG Mike Conley missed his second straight game with a sore foot vs. the Celtics on Wednesday and backup Mario Chalmers would then also leave with a foot injury by halftime. Chris Andersen has also missed the past two games and starter Zach Randolph will likely sit a third consecutive one as well (note that center Marc Gasol was lost earlier in the year as well). Without a true point guard in the game, the Grizzlies offense stalled vs. the Celtics, shooting just 35 percent and commiting nine turnovers.
Revenge: The Pelicans will be out to avenge three straight losses and take advantage of the wounded Grizzlies as Memphis would average 108 points on 51.3 percent shooting when at or close to full strength. Look for the visitors to take control of the pace of this one from the outset. New Orleans will be especially motivated after falling 122-113 at Charlotte on Wednesday: "The effort was there," said New Orleans' head coach Alvin Gentry afterwards. "We've just got to do a better job defensively."
ATS statistics: Note that New Orleans has seen the total go UNDER the number in 20 of 33 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent, while Memphis has seen the total go UNDER in eight of 14 after a loss by ten points or more this season.
The bottom line: Three strong sets of factors collide to make the UNDER the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Major injuries: The Grizzlies are the walking wounded right now, starting PG Mike Conley missed his second straight game with a sore foot vs. the Celtics on Wednesday and backup Mario Chalmers would then also leave with a foot injury by halftime. Chris Andersen has also missed the past two games and starter Zach Randolph will likely sit a third consecutive one as well (note that center Marc Gasol was lost earlier in the year as well). Without a true point guard in the game, the Grizzlies offense stalled vs. the Celtics, shooting just 35 percent and commiting nine turnovers.
Revenge: The Pelicans will be out to avenge three straight losses and take advantage of the wounded Grizzlies as Memphis would average 108 points on 51.3 percent shooting when at or close to full strength. Look for the visitors to take control of the pace of this one from the outset. New Orleans will be especially motivated after falling 122-113 at Charlotte on Wednesday: "The effort was there," said New Orleans' head coach Alvin Gentry afterwards. "We've just got to do a better job defensively."
ATS statistics: Note that New Orleans has seen the total go UNDER the number in 20 of 33 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent, while Memphis has seen the total go UNDER in eight of 14 after a loss by ten points or more this season.
The bottom line: Three strong sets of factors collide to make the UNDER the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
