PREMIUM
AAA's VERY EARLY 3-GM OPENING NIGHT DESTRUCTION PASS!
(NCAAB) UNC Wilmington vs. Duke,
Point Spread: 10.50 | -114.00 UNC Wilmington (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 10.50 | -114.00 UNC Wilmington (Away)
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on NC Wilmington.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:
Note that UNC Wilmington is already 5-1 ATS as an underdog this season and 4-1 ATS in all neutral court games, while Duke is 0-6 ATS in all neutral court contests this year and just 12-13 ATS when playing the role of favorite.
The bottom line: We think Duke gets caught "looking past" its lowly opponent today and while we won't be so bold as to call for the outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on UNC WILMINGTON.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:
Note that UNC Wilmington is already 5-1 ATS as an underdog this season and 4-1 ATS in all neutral court games, while Duke is 0-6 ATS in all neutral court contests this year and just 12-13 ATS when playing the role of favorite.
The bottom line: We think Duke gets caught "looking past" its lowly opponent today and while we won't be so bold as to call for the outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on UNC WILMINGTON.
AAA Sports
