PREMIUM
AAA's 3-GAME TOTALS REPORT (8-3 +$4.7K L11 NBA PICKS!)
(NBA) San Antonio vs. Utah,
Total: 184.50 | -106.00 Under
Result: Loss
Total: 184.50 | -106.00 Under
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on the OVER between the San Antonio Spurs and the Utah Jazz.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant Over/Under ATS statistics:
Note that San Antonio has seen the total go OVER the number in 16 of 27 this year after a non-conference game, while Utah has seen the total sail above the number in seven of 12 this year after playing to three or more consecutive UNDERs and in 20 of 37 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent.
The bottom line: Utah actually plays with triple revenge here and will be looking to take advantage of this spot as San Antonio is likely to rest most of its starters in the latter frames. This one has the feel of a run and gun shootout, rather than a defensive-minded affair, play on the OVER.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant Over/Under ATS statistics:
Note that San Antonio has seen the total go OVER the number in 16 of 27 this year after a non-conference game, while Utah has seen the total sail above the number in seven of 12 this year after playing to three or more consecutive UNDERs and in 20 of 37 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent.
The bottom line: Utah actually plays with triple revenge here and will be looking to take advantage of this spot as San Antonio is likely to rest most of its starters in the latter frames. This one has the feel of a run and gun shootout, rather than a defensive-minded affair, play on the OVER.
AAA Sports
