This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Detroit Pistons and the Miami Heat.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based entierly on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

Note that Detroit has seen the total go OVER the number in four of five this year after playing to three or more consecutive UNDERs and in 27 of 51 vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest, while Miami has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 16 of 28 since the All Star break and in six of ten after playing three consecutive road games.

The bottom line: All signs do indeed point to the OVER as the savvy move in this contest.

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