AAA's NFLX "ART OF WAR!" (TOP DOG OPPORTUNITY!)
(NFL) Minnesota vs. Cincinnati,
Point Spread: 3.00 | -120.00 Minnesota (Away)
Result: Win
This is an 8* ART OF WAR on the Minnesota Vikings.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Setting the scene: The Vikes were 4-1 in the preseason last year, also beating the Steelers 14-3 in the Hall Of Fame Game. The Bengals were 3-1.

The Bengals: Cincinnati has Andy Dalton back under center this year and he'll likely see a few snaps today. The majority of work will be for backup AJ McCarron, who played well in his time last season, as well as a fight between Keith Wenning and Joe Licata for the No. 3 job. Don't expect to see much, if any of the starters playing for the home side today though.

The Vikings: The offense is led by RB Adrian Peterson, but he won't be suiting up for this one. Teddy Bridgewater also won't see much time today under center, but backup QB's Shaun Hill and Taylor Heinke will be battling throughout the preseason for the No. 2 spot. And we think this is a significant advantage to us today.

The bottom line: ATS stats are completely meaningless in a game like this in our professional opinion. The major factor swaying us tonight is that the Bengals already know who their starting and backup QB's are, while the Vikes have a big competition on their hands. It's as simple as that and while we wouldn't be shocked by the outright upset, we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. Play on MINNESOTA.

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