AAA's BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT (3-1 Fri, 2-1 Sat, 1-0 Sun, +$7K ALL L10!)
(MLB) Chi Cubs vs. San Diego,
Money Line: -217.00 Chi Cubs (Away)
Result: Win
This is a 5* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Chicago Cubs.

Setting the scene: Jon Lester is quietly putting together one of the best campaigns of his career. His counterpart today, Edwin Jackson, has been consistently inconsistent all year. After yesterday's embarrassing 11-4 loss at Colorado, we're expecting the Cubs to respond today.

Lester: He's 13-4 with a 2.86 ERA. Lester comes in off a gem vs. Milwaukee on Wednesday, scattering three hits and giving up a single run over seven innings. Lester has now given up one or zero earned runs in 14 of his 24 starts this season. The veteran has been on a blistering pace and a small amount of regression is expected before the end of the season, but despite that, note that he's 6-2 with a 3.88 ERA on the road and 9-0 with a 2.49 ERA in all night games.

Jackson: He's 3-3 with a 5.36 ERA. Most recently Jackson gave up eight runs off nine hits over four innings in a setback to Tampa Bay on Tuesday. Jackson had looked decent in back-to-back outings, but took another major step back against the Rays. Note that he's 1-2 with a 6.58 EA in all night contests.

The bottom line: No need to overthink this one, Chicago has a big advantage on the mound and at the plate today and after yesterday's "brain fart," we're expecting the Cubs to come into this one focused. Lay the price with confidence on CHICAGO.

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