AAA's SITUATIONAL PITCHING MISMATCH (21-7 +$8,616 ALL L11 Days, 5-0 MLB Run, +$24K MLB YTD!)
(MLB) NY Mets vs. St. Louis,
Money Line: -158.00 St. Louis (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 7* SITUATIONAL PITCHING MISMATCH on the St. Louis Cardinals.

Setting the scene: Both of these starting pitchers have struggled this year, but one has gotten better as the season has progressed, while the other continues to slide. We think that the Cardinals offer great value in this matchup.

Jonathon Niese: He's 8-7 with a 5.30 ERA. Most recently he gave up four runs off four hits (including two home runs) over four innings in a loss to Arizona on Wednesday. His first start since coming back to the Mets was a disaster and we have a hard time imagining his next one going very well either. Note that Niese is just 5-6 with a 5.09 ERA in all night games.

Jaime Garcia: He's 10-8 with a 4.11 ERA. Garcia comes in off a gem on Wednesday, going eight innings and allowing two runs off six hits. Garcia had gone eight shutout innings in his previous start, so there's now no question whatsoever that the veteran is once again trending in the correct direction. Note that Garcia is 6-5 with a 3.18 ERA at home.

The bottom line: The Cards are dominating at the plate of late, posting 26 home runs over their last 12 games. And that doesn't bode well for Niese, who is 1-1 vs. St. Louis this year, allowing a whopping 13 runs off 24 hits spanning 16 innings. In our opinion, this line should be a lot larger. Play on St. Louis.

AAA Sports