AAA's 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK (+$9.1K NFL LAST YEAR!)
(NFL) New England vs. Arizona,
Total: 44.50 | -100.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER between the New England Patriots and the Arizona Cardinals.

Setting the scene: I played this total quite early (before the announcement that TE Rob Gronkowski would not be playing in this one) and got 48. The number has since dropped, but regardless, we still love this selection as we're expecting New England's Top 10 defensive unit to step up in this situation and slow down this high-powered Cards offense.

New England: What more can be said about the Pats at this point which hasn't been said by every "talking head" in the nation. If you watch the NFL on any level, then you're surely up to speed with everything that's going on with New England. Brady is out and Garoppolo is in. Gronk won't be making the trip to the desert, so the Pats are going to be leaning heavily on their defense to keep them in this one today.

Arizona: Carson Palmer put together the finest campaign of his career last year. Can the veteran duplicate that performance this season? It's hard to imagine. Peyton Manning had one monster year in Denver before steadily regressing after that and all signs point to a similar situation (possibly) happening in Arizona. Palmer has plenty of weapons to throw to and the Cards' defense is also expected to be in the Top 10 again.

The bottom line: Garropolo will only be asked to "manage" this game as the Pats will be using the run to set up the pass. We expect a similar game plan from the home side as well. This number is just a little bit high, play the UNDER.

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