AAA's BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT (+$19K Y-T-D ALL MLB!)
(MLB) Tampa Bay vs. Toronto,
Money Line: -187.00 Toronto (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 6* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Toronto Blue Jays.

Setting the scene: Toronto is in a dog fight for a playoff spot and can ill afford to let any game get away from it. This is a massive mismatch on the mound and a contest which we envision the home side winning easily.

Drew Smyly: He's 6-11 with a 5.05 ERA. Most recently he gave up five runs off seven hits while receiving a no-decision against the Orioles on Wednesday. Smyly posted only 11 outs on 88 pitches and has been a complete "gas can" all year by giving up 30 home runs to date, which ranks as the fifth most in the league. Also note that he's just 3-5 with a 5.60 ERA on the road.

Marcus Stroman: He's 9-7 with a 4.55 ERA. Stroman comes in off a loss despite allowing only two runs off seven hits while striking out eight over five frames against New York on Wednesday. Stroman looked sharp, inducing 15 swing-and-misses.

The bottom line: Stroman has been the much more consistent over the last month, his win/loss record is not entirely indicative of how he's thrown of late as he continues to receive poor support. We think that changes tonight. Lay the price with confidence on Stroman and the BLUE JAYS.

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