AAA's THURSDAY NIGHT CUSTOMER APPRECIATION SPECIAL (WHITE HOT 7-3, 70% TO OPEN SEASON!)
(NFL) NY Jets vs. Buffalo,
Total: 40.00 | -110.00 Under
Result: Win
This is an 8* SPECIAL on the OVER between the New York Jets and the Buffalo Bills.

Setting the scene: If you're like us, you are waiting on Sunday afternoon for the following week's College Football lines to come out. While the NFL games are going on, we're also already working ahead on our NCAAF card for the following week. Sometimes it pays to play a line right away, other times it works against you. In this case we grabbed the OVER 42 and that number has since dropped to 40 at some places. But regardless, we still really like this play and are expecting these two offensively challenged teams to put up just enough production for this one to sneak above the total.

The Jets: New York lost a tough 23-22 opener at home to Cincinnati. The Bengals kicked a game winning FG with under a minute to play. The Jets looked good offensively, but the unit failed to convert many red zone drives into touchdowns. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick was 19 of 35 for 189 yards and two major scores to one INT. Matt Forte was strong with 96 yards on 22 carries, while also making five receptions for 59 yards in the air. The run defense was decent, but the secondary was poor as AJ Green burned them several times.

The Bills: Buffalo looked bad in its 13-7 Week 1 loss to the Ravens. The offense especially. But some credit has to be given to the Ravens smothering defensive play. With that awkward first game out of the way, we're definitely expecting a much better game out of QB Tyrod Taylor and company. Taylor finished with just 111 yards and no touchdowns. RB LeSean McCoy had just 58 yards on 16 carries. The defense was the bright spot, allowing just the single touchdown to the offensively inept Ravens.

The bottom line: These teams of course played twice last year and the Bills won 22-17 in both meetings. Many are likely going to be playing the UNDER, even after the adjusted line movement, but we think the situation will finally lend itself to a more wide open and higher-scoring shootout. Rex Ryan's head is on the chopping block this year and he'll be expected to have his team perform in its home opener. We expect both sides to open up the playbook tonight, play the OVER.

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