PREMIUM
AAA's NATIONAL LEAGUE ASSASSIN (191-129 +$18.2K MLB YTD!)
(MLB) Miami vs. Philadelphia,
Money Line: -114.00 Miami (Away)
Result: Loss
Money Line: -114.00 Miami (Away)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on the Miami Marlins.
Setting the scene: The Marlins are 4.5 games back in the wild card race and will need to start stringing some wins together if they have any chance at making a serious challenge down the stretch. Adam Morgan has thrown better of late for the home side, but we think Tom Koehler, who has had plenty of success against the Phillies in his career, has a bigger advantage than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe.
Koehler: He's 9-11 with a 3.97 ERA. Koehler gave up four earned runs over five innings in a setback to the Dodgers in his most recent start, but duds like that have been few and far between for him this year. And note that he's been at his best whenever facing the Marlins, going 2-1 with a 2.19 ERA in four matchups this season, while going at least seven frames in three of those.
Morgan: He's 2-10 with a 5.73 ERA. Morgan has given up just five runs over his last 18 innings of work, but note that he's 0-6 with a 5.62 ERA in front of the home town crowd this year.
The bottom line: We think Koehler is the superior pitcher in this matchup and that the Marlins are the deeper and more motivated side. When you add it all up, this is indeed a very fair price, play on MIAMI.
AAA Sports
Setting the scene: The Marlins are 4.5 games back in the wild card race and will need to start stringing some wins together if they have any chance at making a serious challenge down the stretch. Adam Morgan has thrown better of late for the home side, but we think Tom Koehler, who has had plenty of success against the Phillies in his career, has a bigger advantage than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe.
Koehler: He's 9-11 with a 3.97 ERA. Koehler gave up four earned runs over five innings in a setback to the Dodgers in his most recent start, but duds like that have been few and far between for him this year. And note that he's been at his best whenever facing the Marlins, going 2-1 with a 2.19 ERA in four matchups this season, while going at least seven frames in three of those.
Morgan: He's 2-10 with a 5.73 ERA. Morgan has given up just five runs over his last 18 innings of work, but note that he's 0-6 with a 5.62 ERA in front of the home town crowd this year.
The bottom line: We think Koehler is the superior pitcher in this matchup and that the Marlins are the deeper and more motivated side. When you add it all up, this is indeed a very fair price, play on MIAMI.
AAA Sports
